Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.297943 12.643249 14.175515 16.070515 18.380679 21.145651 24.769108
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.323133 10.886288 12.792415 15.343268 18.759312 23.324276 30.173394
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.332974 10.021184 12.181827 15.247493 19.665960 26.138797 37.117157
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.580000 9.314953 11.616970 15.033987 20.258495 28.532208 44.227438
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.052112 8.826108 11.253762 15.003250 21.053172 31.374325 53.336568
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.682346 8.503604 11.067825 15.179486 22.171397 35.041676 66.119835
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.224117 8.010413 10.574896 14.796179 22.250642 36.776104 75.603424
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.920381 7.710229 10.333280 14.774391 22.950093 39.952360 91.432066
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.543034 7.273235 9.842459 14.272671 22.656083 40.884982 101.350503
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.163345 6.808815 9.273700 13.576492 21.872998 40.482176 106.470555
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.852171 6.429699 8.813210 13.024812 21.299465 40.457385 113.395425
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.954243 6.679774 9.368636 14.335523 24.807375 52.274932 195.515577
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.880648 6.664253 9.507578 14.938987 27.042173 62.304002 316.068778
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.595273 6.298606 9.032819 14.310105 26.276912 62.366527 355.664293
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.426734 6.109599 8.845070 14.225679 26.828945 67.437208 496.172368
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.255190 5.905953 8.616955 14.033653 27.073052 71.590439 686.877943
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.122988 5.758872 8.476905 14.005987 27.746947 78.069147 1114.936402
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.028330 5.667856 8.428872 14.164629 28.972899 88.192699 2522.588487
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.868632 5.461172 8.159536 13.819462 28.694284 90.778881 4191.525123
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.764818 5.343133 8.044141 13.799827 29.380230 99.376475 17808.228107
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.609523 5.132010 7.746284 13.347267 28.664552 99.306192 44315.511836
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.439030 4.889690 7.380711 12.717908 27.315262 94.654054 42734.822298
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.293985 4.686342 7.079991 12.218001 26.319801 91.965369 66035.242219